Historian who's predicted nearly every election since 1984 reveals his pick for 2024's election
The fourth key shows there's no other third party challenge - a 'true' key, fifth focuses on the short-term economy being 'strong' - the key once more true. The sixth looks at the long-term economic growth during Biden's term - the key 'true', seventh takes into consideration the major changes made to national policy - 'true'.
Eighth, there is not being 'massive' social protests or unrest, the key once more 'true'.
And nine, the White House is not being tainted by proper scandal aka 'actual corruption that implicates the President himself' - the key 'true'.
The tenth key (the incumbent candidate being 'charismatic') is' false 'but eleventh (the challenger candidate being' uncharismatic ') is' true' - Lichtman arguing Harris hasn't met the 'standard' as being a 'once-in -a-generational candidate ', but taking into consideration Trump's following, while loyal, is' narrow'.
And so Lichtman resolves: "The Democrats will hold on to the White House and Kamala Harris will be the next president of the United States - at least that's my prediction for the outcome of this race."
Green Day change lyrics to 'American Idiot' to slam Donald Trump
However, he adds: "The outcome is up to you. So get out and vote."
So, what do you think? Featured Image Credit: Anna Moneymaker / Getty Images / Kevin Dietsch / Getty Images
Topics: History , Politics , US News , Donald Trump , Kamala Harris
Joe Biden makes first public speech to explain why he's not running for re-election
The president made an address to the nation about ' passing the torch 'to Vice President Kamala Harris Alex Maxam President Joe Biden has addressed the nation to explain in detail his decision to abruptly end his re-election campaign. In a live broadcast from the White House's Oval Office, Biden made his first public remarks since making the announcement on Sunday .
Sitting at the Resolute Desk, he noted the fact he was surrounded by presidents of the past, including George Washington, Thomas Jefferson and Abraham Lincoln, before stating: "I revere this office, but I love my country more ... nothing can come in the way of democracy, that includes personal ambition. "
Biden did not mention Donald Trump 's name in his speech, but he made repeated references to the threat he believes he poses to democracy in the US :" The defense of democracy, which is at stake, is more important than any title.
"I draw strength, and find joy, in working for the American people. But this sacred task of perfecting our Union is not about me. It's about you. Your families. Your futures. It's about 'We the People.'"
He went on to stress the importance of moving with the times and embracing younger leaders: "I've decided the best way forward is to pass the torch to a new generation. That's the best way to unite our nation.
" You know, there is a time and a place for long years of experience in public life. There's also a time and a place for new voices, fresh voices, yes, younger voices and that time and place is now. "
The president reiterated his endorsement for his vice president, Kamala Harris, as the Democrat nominee:" Now, in just a few months, the American people choose the course of America's future. "
" I made my choice. I made my views known. I would like to thank our great vice president, Kamala Harris. She's experienced. She's tough, she's capable. She's been an incredible partner to me and a leader for our country. Now the choice is up to you, the American people.
Donald Trump has given his first major speech since his assassination attempt. (Alex Wong / Getty Images)
He continued, as per Sky News: "Behind me and to the right was a large screen that was displaying a chart of border crossings under my leadership.
"In order to see the chart, I started to turn to my right, and was ready to begin a further turn, which I'm lucky I didn't, when I heard a loud whizzing sound and felt something hit me, really hard , on my right ear.
"I said to myself, 'Wow, what was that - it could only be a bullet,' and moved my right hand to my ear, brought it down, and my hand was covered with blood.
"I immediately knew it was very serious, that we were under attack, and in one movement, proceeded to drop to the ground."
Donald Trump's ear was injured in the events that unfolded on July 13. (REBECCA DROKE / AFP via Getty Images)
Trump further explained that there was 'blood pouring everywhere' but he still felt safe because he 'has God on his side'.
"The amazing thing is that prior to the shot, if I had not moved my head at the very last instant, the assassin's bullet would have perfectly hit its mark, and I would not be here tonight," he went on.
Elsewhere, Trump said he would not be discussing the events that unfolded on July 13 again as he finds it 'too painful'.
Last night marked the final night of the RNC. The election vote opens later this year on November 5.Featured Image Credit: Anna Moneymaker / Getty Images
Topics: Donald Trump , News , Republicans , Politics , US News
The Nostradamus of the US presidential elections Allan Lichtman has revealed who he believes will win Poppy Bilderbeck A historian has revealed who he thinks will come out victorious between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris. With the 2024 presidential elections now just a month away, American University history professor Allan Lichtman has his moment to shine. The 77-year-old claims to have accurately predicted all but one election dating all the way back to 1984 and he has since confirmed his pick for this year. The method To reveal his prediction, Lichtman took part in a video interview with The New York Times which also shows his efforts to make it into the senior Olympics - the whole video weirdly reminiscent of Elle Woods' pitch to get into Harvard. The video reflects on his historical success predicting the US presidential elections and how he makes his decisions, Lichtman's' model '' ignoring the polls and the pundits' and instead focusing on '13 keys' he developed in 1981 with his friend, geophysicist Vladimir Keilis -Borok. The 13 keys are 'big-picture true-false questions that tap into the strength and performance of the White House party' and 'only two keys [Incumbent Charisma and Challenger Charisma] have anything to do with the candidates'. "It's based on 120 years of presidential election outcomes before then," Lichtman added. The method has certainly served Lichtman well, the historian having successfully predicted Donald Trump winning the US presidential elections in 2016 and then Trump losing in 2020 to Joe Biden . But what do Lichtman's keys - which he brands 'the constant northern star of political prediction' - predict for this year? The Nostradamus of US politics aka Allan Lichtman has spoken (PAUL J. RICHARDS / AFP via Getty Images) The prediction Well, weighing up the keys, Lichtman explains as a result of the Democrats doing 'better than expected in 2022 but still los [ing ] House seats' that key is' false '- false keys' good' for Trump. The next key looks at the 'sitting president running for re-election' however, because Biden withdrew, Lichtman says this costs the Democrats - another 'false'. The third key looks at the White House avoiding a primary contest - 'the Democrats finally got smart and united overwhelming behind Vice President Harris ' so the key is 'true' - good for Harris.
The fourth key shows there's no other third party challenge - a 'true' key, fifth focuses on the short-term economy being 'strong' - the key once more true. The sixth looks at the long-term economic growth during Biden's term - the key 'true', seventh takes into consideration the major changes made to national policy - 'true'.
Eighth, there is not being 'massive' social protests or unrest, the key once more 'true'.
And nine, the White House is not being tainted by proper scandal aka 'actual corruption that implicates the President himself' - the key 'true'.
The tenth key (the incumbent candidate being 'charismatic') is' false 'but eleventh (the challenger candidate being' uncharismatic ') is' true' - Lichtman arguing Harris hasn't met the 'standard' as being a 'once-in -a-generational candidate ', but taking into consideration Trump's following, while loyal, is' narrow'.
And so Lichtman resolves: "The Democrats will hold on to the White House and Kamala Harris will be the next president of the United States - at least that's my prediction for the outcome of this race."
Green Day change lyrics to 'American Idiot' to slam Donald Trump
However, he adds: "The outcome is up to you. So get out and vote."
So, what do you think? Featured Image Credit: Anna Moneymaker / Getty Images / Kevin Dietsch / Getty Images
Topics: History , Politics , US News , Donald Trump , Kamala Harris
Joe Biden makes first public speech to explain why he's not running for re-election
The president made an address to the nation about ' passing the torch 'to Vice President Kamala Harris Alex Maxam President Joe Biden has addressed the nation to explain in detail his decision to abruptly end his re-election campaign. In a live broadcast from the White House's Oval Office, Biden made his first public remarks since making the announcement on Sunday .
Sitting at the Resolute Desk, he noted the fact he was surrounded by presidents of the past, including George Washington, Thomas Jefferson and Abraham Lincoln, before stating: "I revere this office, but I love my country more ... nothing can come in the way of democracy, that includes personal ambition. "
Biden did not mention Donald Trump 's name in his speech, but he made repeated references to the threat he believes he poses to democracy in the US :" The defense of democracy, which is at stake, is more important than any title.
"I draw strength, and find joy, in working for the American people. But this sacred task of perfecting our Union is not about me. It's about you. Your families. Your futures. It's about 'We the People.'"
He went on to stress the importance of moving with the times and embracing younger leaders: "I've decided the best way forward is to pass the torch to a new generation. That's the best way to unite our nation.
" You know, there is a time and a place for long years of experience in public life. There's also a time and a place for new voices, fresh voices, yes, younger voices and that time and place is now. "
The president reiterated his endorsement for his vice president, Kamala Harris, as the Democrat nominee:" Now, in just a few months, the American people choose the course of America's future. "
" I made my choice. I made my views known. I would like to thank our great vice president, Kamala Harris. She's experienced. She's tough, she's capable. She's been an incredible partner to me and a leader for our country. Now the choice is up to you, the American people.
The president made an 11-minute speech addressing the entire nation. (White House)
He also addressed how he'll be handling his last six months in office, claiming he has a 'busy to-do list' including working to end the war in Gaza, lower costs for hardworking families and defend personal freedoms. Significantly, he also said he'd be pushing for Supreme Court reform, which has been a hot topic in recent months. After a spree of controversial rulings and ethics concerns involving the Supreme Court judges.
Biden stated that reform to the country's highest court is "critical to our democracy"
. Great thing about America is, here, kings and dictators do not rule. The people do. History is in your hands. The power is in your hands. The idea of America lies in your hands. "
" You just have to keep faith, keep the faith and remember who we are - we're the United States of America, and there are simply nothing, nothing beyond our capacity. We do it together.
"So let's act together, preserve our democracy. God bless you all. And may God protect our troops. Thank you." Featured Image Credit: White House
Topics: Politics , US News , Joe Biden , Donald Trump , Kamala Harris
While we are still more than a year away from the 2024 US Election , the race is already heating up.
The candidates who want to lead the Republican party to victory have started debating about why they believe they are the best person to become President.
However, there was a noticeable absentee from those debates: Donald Trump .
He is still a strong contender to win the Republican primary and he’s up against some stiff competition.
One of his former staffers has revealed the only person who they believe could beat Trump at the ballot box.
Alyssa Farah Griffin served as director of strategic communications for the White House during Trump's one-term administration.
Lou Rocco / ABC via Getty Images
Before that, she was a special assistant to then-President Trump and press secretary for then-Vice President Mike Pence from October 2017 to September 2019.
Farah Griffin then got a job as press secretary for the Department of Defense and director of media affairs.
During an episode of The View: Behind the Table podcast, the conversation rounded on Taylor Swift and NFL star Travis Kelce's rumored romance.
"I had to hold back how excited I was about this topic to not off-put other people at the table," Farah Griffin said.
"It may be a fling, it may be any sort of thing, but she's always dated actors or musicians who kind of fit the same bill.
" Dating a pro athlete is totally different and I think, because she's not always had success in love. , going for something outside of the box makes sense. "
And this is when the conversation got political.
Amy Sussman / Getty Images
" This ends in one way, "she said.
" We are all Taylor Swift fans and, to be honest, if Donald Trump looks like he's going to win, she's just going to need to get in the race and defeat him once and for all because she's probably the only person who can. "
It's a fairly bold suggestion.
Considering Swift is all through next year up until the November election, it would be hard to imagine she would be able to
turn every concert into a campaign of tens of thousands of people for
social media. by the time inauguration rolls in 2025.
against the likes of Joe Biden, Marianne Williamson and Robert F. Kennedy Jr. for the Democratic primary.Featured Image Credit
: Jamie McCarthy / Getty Images for MTV Taylor Swift , Donald Trump , Politics ,US News
Colorado Supreme Court rules Donald Trump is ineligible for 2024 presidential ballot
Featured Image Credit: Drew Angerer / Getty Images. Joe Raedle / Getty Images
Donald Trump recalls 'painful' assassination attempt in first speech since shooting
He also addressed how he'll be handling his last six months in office, claiming he has a 'busy to-do list' including working to end the war in Gaza, lower costs for hardworking families and defend personal freedoms. Significantly, he also said he'd be pushing for Supreme Court reform, which has been a hot topic in recent months. After a spree of controversial rulings and ethics concerns involving the Supreme Court judges.
Biden stated that reform to the country's highest court is "critical to our democracy"
. Great thing about America is, here, kings and dictators do not rule. The people do. History is in your hands. The power is in your hands. The idea of America lies in your hands. "
" You just have to keep faith, keep the faith and remember who we are - we're the United States of America, and there are simply nothing, nothing beyond our capacity. We do it together.
"So let's act together, preserve our democracy. God bless you all. And may God protect our troops. Thank you." Featured Image Credit: White House
Topics: Politics , US News , Joe Biden , Donald Trump , Kamala Harris
Taylor Swift is the 'only person' who could defeat Donald Trump in the 2024 election, Ex-Staffer claims Alyssa Farah Griffin says Swift has the star power to end the former President at next year's vote
While we are still more than a year away from the 2024 US Election , the race is already heating up.
The candidates who want to lead the Republican party to victory have started debating about why they believe they are the best person to become President.
However, there was a noticeable absentee from those debates: Donald Trump .
He is still a strong contender to win the Republican primary and he’s up against some stiff competition.
One of his former staffers has revealed the only person who they believe could beat Trump at the ballot box.
Alyssa Farah Griffin served as director of strategic communications for the White House during Trump's one-term administration.
Lou Rocco / ABC via Getty Images Before that, she was a special assistant to then-President Trump and press secretary for then-Vice President Mike Pence from October 2017 to September 2019.
Farah Griffin then got a job as press secretary for the Department of Defense and director of media affairs.
During an episode of The View: Behind the Table podcast, the conversation rounded on Taylor Swift and NFL star Travis Kelce's rumored romance.
"I had to hold back how excited I was about this topic to not off-put other people at the table," Farah Griffin said.
"It may be a fling, it may be any sort of thing, but she's always dated actors or musicians who kind of fit the same bill.
" Dating a pro athlete is totally different and I think, because she's not always had success in love. , going for something outside of the box makes sense. "
And this is when the conversation got political.
Amy Sussman / Getty Images " This ends in one way, "she said.
" We are all Taylor Swift fans and, to be honest, if Donald Trump looks like he's going to win, she's just going to need to get in the race and defeat him once and for all because she's probably the only person who can. "
It's a fairly bold suggestion.
Considering Swift is all through next year up until the November election, it would be hard to imagine she would be able to
turn every concert into a campaign of tens of thousands of people for
social media. by the time inauguration rolls in 2025.
against the likes of Joe Biden, Marianne Williamson and Robert F. Kennedy Jr. for the Democratic primary.Featured Image Credit
: Jamie McCarthy / Getty Images for MTV Taylor Swift , Donald Trump , Politics ,US News
Colorado Supreme Court rules Donald Trump is ineligible for 2024 presidential ballot
The Court cited an insurrection clause in the US Constitution and has removed him from the ballot. Stewart Perrie The Colorado Supreme Court has removed Donald Trump from the ballot for the 2024 presidential election. The Court cited an insurrection clause in the US constitution for booting him off, in a 4-3 decision. The ruling means Trump cannot be an eligible candidate in the US state due to section 3 of the 14th amendment. This section states: "No person shall be a Senator or Representative in Congress, or elector of President and Vice President, or hold any office, civil or military, under the United States, or under any State, who, having previously taken an oath , as a member of Congress, or as an officer of the United States, or as a member of any State legislature, or as an executive or judicial officer of any State, to support the Constitution of the United States, shall have engaged in insurrection or rebellion against the same, or given aid or comfort to the enemies thereof. "But Congress may, by a vote of two-thirds of each House, remove such disability. "has been cited to disqualify a presidential candidate. However, the decision has not been set in stone just yet. A district court judge initially said ballot despite inciting the January 6 insurrection. The judge's decision was based on uncertainty on whether the provision in the amendment was meant to 'cover the presidency', according to ABC .
Featured Image Credit: Drew Angerer / Getty Images. Joe Raedle / Getty Images
Donald Trump recalls 'painful' assassination attempt in first speech since shooting
Donald Trump has reflected on almost dying last weekend after a bullet grazed his ear Niamh Shackleton Donald Trump has given his first major speech following the attempt on his life last weekend. On Saturday, July 13, the Republican presidential nominee was speaking on stage at a rally in Pennsylvania when now-deceased gunman Thomas Crooks fired several shots in his direction.
The 78-year-old managed to turn his head at the perfect moment so instead of one of the bullets killing him, it grazed his right ear instead.
Elsewhere, two other people were critically injured during the harrowing incident and one man, 50-year-old Corey Comperatore, tragically died .
Following the incredibly scary ordeal, Trump made his first public appearance and attended the first night of the Republican National Convention (RNC) in Milwaukee on July 15 where he was seen sporting a large bandage on is wounded ear.
Trump did not speak on the night, but has now given his first major speech following last weekend's assassination attempt.
Reflecting on the near-fatal day for the former president, Trump told the crowd: "It was a warm, beautiful day in the early evening in Butler Township in the great commonwealth of Pennsylvania."
Donald Trump has given his first major speech since his assassination attempt. (Alex Wong / Getty Images) He continued, as per Sky News: "Behind me and to the right was a large screen that was displaying a chart of border crossings under my leadership.
"In order to see the chart, I started to turn to my right, and was ready to begin a further turn, which I'm lucky I didn't, when I heard a loud whizzing sound and felt something hit me, really hard , on my right ear.
"I said to myself, 'Wow, what was that - it could only be a bullet,' and moved my right hand to my ear, brought it down, and my hand was covered with blood.
"I immediately knew it was very serious, that we were under attack, and in one movement, proceeded to drop to the ground."
Donald Trump's ear was injured in the events that unfolded on July 13. (REBECCA DROKE / AFP via Getty Images) Trump further explained that there was 'blood pouring everywhere' but he still felt safe because he 'has God on his side'.
"The amazing thing is that prior to the shot, if I had not moved my head at the very last instant, the assassin's bullet would have perfectly hit its mark, and I would not be here tonight," he went on.
Elsewhere, Trump said he would not be discussing the events that unfolded on July 13 again as he finds it 'too painful'.
Last night marked the final night of the RNC. The election vote opens later this year on November 5.Featured Image Credit: Anna Moneymaker / Getty Images
Topics: Donald Trump , News , Republicans , Politics , US News
